IN ONE MINUTE
How Nymterra turns farmland into priced risk.
A short walk through the platform — from field signals to calibrated risk that capital can underwrite.
THE TRUST LAYER FOR AGRICULTURAL CAPITALRisk becomes
Risk becomes
Infrastructure.
We build the calibrated trust layer for agricultural capital markets — turning field-level signals into risk institutions can actually price.
90%
Valid coverage
at the 90% target
Production engine · LIVE
90%
Coverage · target 90%
74 × 9
Districts × years · N=664
MODIS · Sentinel-2
Data backbone
Conformal · Mondrian
Calibration
45K+
Leaf images · 44 classes
240K+
Weather records
THE PROBLEM
Capital is flying blind.
$99B
in crop losses every year — and the field-level risk behind them still isn't priced accurately.
Banks can price financial risk, not field risk — so capital is priced for the worst case, or withheld. Where cover exists, basis risk makes the payout miss the farmer's real loss.
GROUND-TRUTH FLYWHEEL
Ground truth compounds.
ground truth↻flywheel
1
More farms
2
Ground truth
3
Better models
4
Better decisions
5
Lower loss ratio
6
Cheaper capital
Every farm improves the engine. A sharper engine makes every farm more bankable. The data network is the moat — it can't be downloaded, only accumulated.
Data compounds. Trust compounds faster.
PRODUCTS · MVP LIVEFrom farms to data.
From farms to data.
From data to capital.
Live today — SaaS dashboard, Mobile app, and the calibrated engine, all in production.
Enterprise SaaS
Precision monitoring for commercial greenhouses.
- Yield forecast ± interval
- Disease risk 5–7 days ahead
- Bankability score
Mobile
Accessible monitoring for small farms.
- Offline field capture
- Ground-truth labels
- Data coverage at scale
Hardware
IoT sensing — the data moat.
- LoRaWAN sensors · weather · soil
- Edge-first, offline-capable
- A data moat, not a profit center
THE ENGINE · CRPE
The engine is the product.
Calibrated. Continuous. Built for decisions. Institutions don't buy software — they pay for access to calibrated risk intelligence.
CRPE doesn't just predict a yield — it states how confident it is. Using conformal prediction, every estimate carries a calibrated interval with a coverage guarantee. Mondrian cell-aware calibration lets that interval widen where risk is genuinely higher and tighten where it isn't — so underwriters see real uncertainty, not a single fragile number.
90%
valid coverage at the 90% target
74 × 9
districts × years · N=664
CQR delivers a tighter interval than Gaussian at valid 90% coverage (9.70 vs 9.81) — less over-reserved capital.
BanksPer-hectare licensing · API
InsurersMGA · share of premium
GovernmentsSovereign data contracts
Built on open, globally-available data layers — architected to generalize across the climate belt.
Coverage is validated across 74 districts in Kazakhstan over nine years (N = 664). Field-level validation is the next milestone — and we say so.
UNDER THE HOOD
Built on open, global data layers.
Earth observation
- Sentinel-2 / Sentinel-1
- MODIS
- NDVI time series
Climate & soil
- ERA5 · CHIRPS
- NASA POWER
- SoilGrids
Risk calibration
- Proprietary calibration layer
- Coverage-guaranteed intervals
- Continuous retraining
Edge-first serving
- LoRaWAN sensors
- Offline-capable
- API-first engine
The same pipeline runs anywhere these layers exist — the engine generalizes across the climate belt.
MARKETStart small.
Start small.
Own the infrastructure.
We deliberately start where calibration matters most, then the engine scales across the climate belt. Infrastructure scales better than software.
KazakhstanCentral AsiaMENA
Kazakhstan already runs this market — established agricultural lending, satellite-index crop insurance, and international A-rated reinsurance are all in place. The market exists; the calibrated intelligence layer doesn't.
THE DOUBLE MOAT
An edge that compounds quietly.
PhD in AI engineering·~8 years in applied AI
3 USPTO patents·8 publications
Two layers that compound: the calibration science, and the ground truth beneath it. One can be rebuilt. The other cannot be downloaded.
Trustworthy enough to underwrite — the founder's research specialty.
CONTACT
Get in touch.
We're building the trust layer for agricultural capital in emerging markets — and onboarding design partners, institutional pilots, and investors now.